[Population Modeling] The SILAS-model

Jacob Barhak jacob.barhak at gmail.com
Wed Jan 7 20:36:32 PST 2015


Thanks Stefan,

This link to your blog is sufficient reference. However, due to the nature
of your work, some spam filters consider your message offensive, so you may
not have been seen unless someone reads the archives.

And as for experience with AWS, I have some, if you need a cluster, try
StarCluster.
http://star.mit.edu/cluster/

Interesting enough, Philip Bourne from the NIH was talking at the IMAG
meeting about plans of having multiple HPC platforms in the near future to
work with, not necessarily only Amazon AWS. And it seems HPC is becoming
popular and we will have to address it in  the list at some point.

By the way, other people in the list have had requests from others in the
list buried in the text. I noticed those and will try raising them again in
a few weeks once out numbers grow further and give more chance for good
answers.

                Jacob

On Tue, Jan 6, 2015 at 3:56 PM, Stefan Scholz <
stefan.scholz at uni-bielefeld.de> wrote:

>  Dear all,
>
> thank you very much for your invitation to the mailing list and the
> opportunity to exchange ideas and knowledge about modeling! My name is
> Stefan Scholz and I am working at the Department of Health Economics and
> Management at the University of Bielefeld.
>
> Here you can find a webpage/blog about the SILAS-model (
> abmsyphilis.wordpress.com), which aims to simulate *S*exual *I*nfections
> as *L*arge-scale *A*gent-based *S*imulation. Basically, SILAS is a
> demographic model which explicitly simulates sexual contacts of hetero-,
> homo- and bisexual agents in relationships and for singles on a daily
> basis. The birth of a new agent is thereby initiated by an unprotected
> (pill, condom) sexual contact between heterosexual agents respecting
> induced and spontaneous abortion. STIs can also be spread among the agents
> via those sexual contacts. Agents are already forming small family networks
> and reproduce themselves close to the level of the general German
> population without any externally given fertility rate. It is planned to
> extend the model to a regional distribution of the agents and other social
> networks to simulate the regional spread of diseases and other (non-STI)
> infectious diseases, respectively.
> The model is built in the FLAME-framework (http://www.flame.ac.uk/) which
> combines C-code and XML-files to enable agent interaction via the X-machine
> framework. SILAS is of stochastic nature, as each agent calculates
> probability distributions in dependence to its characteristics (age, sex,
> sexual orientation, etc.) from which it samples its behavior. The behavior
> rules are estimated from a large panel-data set using the GAMLSS-package in
> R (http://www.gamlss.org/). It is also planned in the medium-term to
> migrate the model to an AmazonWebServices-server to scale the model size.
> (Does anyone have experiences with AWS?)
>
> Unfortunately, I have no publications related to the SILAS-model so far,
> but I hope you can find most of the information about the model on the
> above blog. I submitted two abstracts to the International Conference of
> Computational Social Sciences in Helsinki. Could you maybe use them as
> reference, presupposed they will be accepted? If I can help you or
> contribute in any other way, please let me know!
>
> Again, thank you very much for the invitation and I am really looking
> forward to future discussions!
>
> Best regards,
> Stefan
>
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