[Population Modeling] Introduction Email

[Jacob Barhak]

So Jay,

The value of the model is not in its accuracy, its in the fact that it
compresses the data.

Most disease models are not very accurate and do not validate well when put
out of their "comfort zone". Yet they are valuable due to their descriptive
power.

The more disease models we have the better view we have. Its like more
wiseman to describe the elephant if you know the anecdote.

We really need more models to better understand our surroundings. And you
guys are sure doing your part.

          Jacob



On Wed, Apr 25, 2018, 17:39 Walonoski, Jason A. <jwalonoski at mitre.org>
wrote:

> While we model asthma at a high-level, using some publicly available
> statistics, we have not closely validated that module against real-world
> data. The modules have varying levels of verification and validation. Since
> our model does not consider regional air pollution, I have no reason to
> believe it would be that accurate. Pollution (of all kinds), the
> environment, and a wide range of  other “determinants of health” are
> factors that we want to add as time goes on.
>
>
>
> Thanks,
>
> Jay.
>
>
>
> *From: *"Hyder, Ayaz" <hyder.22 at osu.edu>
> *Date: *Wednesday, April 25, 2018 at 4:58 PM
> *To: *Jacob Barhak <jacob.barhak at gmail.com>
> *Cc: *Jason Walonoski <jwalonoski at mitre.org>, "
> popmodwkgrpimag-news at simtk.org" <popmodwkgrpimag-news at simtk.org>
> *Subject: *Re: [Population Modeling] Introduction Email
>
>
>
> As a follow-up, have you compared health effect estimates using the
> synthetic and real-world data? For example, if you looked at the impact of
> air pollution on asthma using each type of data, then do you get similar
> results?
>
>
>
> Thanks
>
>
>
> Ayaz Hyder, PhD
> *Assistant Professor, Division of Environmental Health Sciences*
>
>
> *Affiliated Faculty, Translational Data Analytics *College of Public
> Health, The Ohio State University
>
> 614-247-4936 | http://cph.osu.edu/people/ahyder | Research blog
> <http://u.osu.edu/hyder.22/>
>
>
>
> On Apr 25, 2018, at 4:51 PM, Jacob Barhak <jacob.barhak at gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
>
> Hi Jason,
>
>
>
> When Synthea outputs to EHR, it uses  HL7 or FHIR - this is an advantage
> over many other systems. I thought it is worthwhile mentioning this beyond
> your text.
>
>
>
> I also saw it has built in modules and you already modeled some diseases
> such as diabetes, beyond your example.
>
>
>
> Thanks for sharing.
>
>
>
>          Jacob
>
>
>
>
>
> On Wed, Apr 25, 2018, 14:23 Walonoski, Jason A. <jwalonoski at mitre.org>
> wrote:
>
> Hello All,
>
> My name is Jason Walonoski. I work on the open-source Synthea project
> ("synthetic health") that simulates the progression and treatment of
> diseases and primarily outputs synthetic patient records along with other
> data.
>
> Synthea Homepage: https://synthetichealth.github.io/synthea
> Source Code: https://github.com/synthetichealth/synthea
> Documentation: https://github.com/synthetichealth/synthea/wiki
> Disease Models: https://synthetichealth.github.io/module-builder/
> (defaults with the fake disease "Exampilitis")
> Videos:
> - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qSGw0ljYxpY
> - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0qGhjVPfW9w
>
>
>
> On 4/25/18, 11:11 AM, "PopModWkGrpIMAG-news on behalf of
> popmodwkgrpimag-news-request at simtk.org" <
> popmodwkgrpimag-news-bounces at simtk.org on behalf of
> popmodwkgrpimag-news-request at simtk.org> wrote:
>
>     Welcome to the PopModWkGrpIMAG-news at simtk.org mailing list! Welcome to
>     the Population Modeling Working Group mailing list associated with the
>     Inter Agency Modeling and Analysis Group (IMAG).
>
>     We ask that as your first post, you will send an introduction to your
>     own population modeling work to the list. Please send links to your
>     web site / video / related publication to the following email address:
>     popmodwkgrpimag-news at simtk.org
>
>
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