[Population Modeling] Discussing the Population Modeling panel in SummerSim

[Dammann, Olaf]

Dear All,
I agree with Stefan re 1 and 2.

1. I like the idea of talking about input-output stuff - data sources, constraints, validation issues.

2. Fully agree with Stefan.

3. If we have slides, this should be flash talks, not longish formal presentations. I am still unclear whether we have presentations from  conference participants who are NOT panelists?

My 2 cents
Olaf


--
Olaf Dammann, MD
Professor of Public Health & Community Medicine
Tufts University School of Medicine
Boston, MA 02111

On Jan 21, 2016, at 4:00 AM, Stefan Scholz <stefan.scholz at uni-bielefeld.de<mailto:stefan.scholz at uni-bielefeld.de>> wrote:

Hi all,

thanks for all your efforts! Here are my thoughts on the three points:

1. Topic: I am not quite sure whether the topics really do mean the same thing. I would understand Melanies suggestion as "what are the differences in the results/outputs from estimation vs. simulation" whereas I would understand the topic "estimation in population modeling" more as estimation of model input parameters. (Please tell me, if I got that wrong!) I think both are interesting topics and maybe we could bring them both together under the general topic of validity (external and internal). (i.e. how do we estimate model input to get externally valid results and how do we assess the latter)

2. I would vote for separate papers under the same topic, sharing the same prefix.

3. I would go for option B). Option A) is fine as well, but we should make clear if there are some contrary opinions on this topic. If panelists agree on almost every topic, this might get boring. Also, I would see the number of people in the audience a critical factor for a panel. If we are a small group, sharing the methods used for estimation and discussing it in the group might be more beneficial to all attendees.

Best,
Stefan

Am 19.01.2016 um 19:42 schrieb Jacob Barhak:
Hi Melanie, Hi Olaf, Hi Stefan, Hi Carl,

You all expressed interest in appearing in a population modeling panel in SummerSim.

Melanie also suggested a topic:
"differences and extrapolation concerns around 'simulation vs. estimation’ in bio-medical area"

At this point, I wish interested parties to discuss the following:

1. The topic - feel free to suggest alternative topics/titles and we can see how having the panel will contribute to the topic. Note that if we end up with different topics, it is also ok since others may join to support the topic you suggested. Hopefully there will be synergy, yet complementary topics or even different opinions are possible. This discussion itself is valuable.

2. Writing Format. The conference includes a paper. Part of the discussion should be how do you prefer to be published. Do you want a joint paper? Or would you like each to submit a short paper with similar topics? This would probably be tied to the topic you suggest. Yet note that whatever paper format chosen, it will undergo public non-blind review.

3. Presentation format: How would you like the talk to be? Possibilities include: A) Totally informal discussion where panelists converge amongst themselves, possibly with moderation and questions from he audience. B) Presentations with a projector of each panelist and then a period of questions. C) A combination of both, for example very short introductions with a projector and then a discussion. Assume half an hour per panelist, yet this may change.

As a default starting point for discussion, allow me to suggest the following:

1. Topic Estimation in population modeling -  its generalization for what Melanie suggested - feel free to reshape it any way comfortable to you.

2. Writing format: Very short separate papers using the topic as a title prefix. to have a common prefix fro all panelists. Here is an example: Estimation in population Modeling - application in Disease Models.

3. Presentation format: Short digital introductions of about 15 minutes each - with only a few slides and a discussion that will start with expanding prepared topics encountered during discussions and review and then answering questions from the audience.

This default can be changed during discussion.

Please feel free to join this discussion if you are interested in appearing in a population modeling panel in SummerSim - even if you are not personally addressed. This post is initially directed to those who expressed interest on this list, yet we can certainly expand the scope to include more panelists, and I know of interest by others at this point.

I look forward to your opinions.

                 Jacob











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--
Stefan Scholz

University of Bielefeld
Faculty of Public Health
Department of Health Economics and Health Management
P.O. Box 10 01 31
D-33501 Bielefeld, Germany

Phone: +49 0521 | 106-2648
Mail: stefan.scholz at uni-bielefeld.de<mailto:stefan.scholz at uni-bielefeld.de>

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